The formula
Break-even ROAS = 1 / contribution margin, where the margin is a fraction of revenue. A 40% margin (0.40) gives 2.5.
Work out the contribution margin
Start from revenue per order and take away every cost that rises with each order.
- Product cost.
- Shipping and packaging you pay for.
- Payment fees.
- An allowance for returns and refunds.
How to use the cutoff
A campaign below break-even loses money on each sale before fixed costs. A campaign above it contributes. The gap between actual ROAS and break-even is the room you have to scale or to test.
Common mistakes
- Using gross margin and ignoring shipping, fees and returns.
- Comparing break-even ROAS, which is revenue-based, with a CPA figure.
- Using one margin for a catalog where products have very different margins.
- Forgetting that a first order may only break even while repeat orders create the profit.
You can try your own numbers in the break-even ROAS calculator.










